1 in 45,000. Sweet!
Ey, the figure is low...isn't it? Before it was a 1 in a million chance...then it went down to 1 in 45,000 and they say in 2036 the chances rise to 1 in 1,400! (or around that number)
Just read a 5 page story about it on a space website and they say it's only big enough to destroy a certain sized state in the USA (that would be the size of a small island like the UK) or if it hit in the ocean it would cause a mass of tidal waves that would devistate the coastlines nearby the impact.
To make things more spooky, they say that if it hits the moon hard enough to cause a chunk of it to dislodge (the crater basicly removes lots of the moons surface) that it would cause a global catastrophy in climate change.
Certain countries would have non-stop typhoon weather, tidal waves will be more frequent...as would tornadoes and hurricanes.
Some scientists are saying that the odds of the asteroid hitting the moon at the strength required for that to happen though is 1 in 500,000 and the chance of it hitting the moon itself isn't even that high to begin with.
